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Age, Sex and Race Playing a Significant Role
The race is tightening. In the latest Rasmussen Poll, Patrick who last polled at 45% has seen support drop to 41%. He is still seeing benefits from good economic news. Before recent reports of an economic turn around Patrick was polling in the low 30’s.
Baker continues to rise. As the number of voters with no opinion of Baker shrinks he is seeing his poll numbers rise as expected. Probably not as quickly as he needs to, but the differential between Patrick and Baker is narrowing.
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Chief Justice Robert Mulligan in 2008
Tensions between the Judiciary and the Legislature have simmered for years over the legislators use of the courts as a source of patronage jobs for the politically connected. This year’s budget process may have finally set off a battle between the Judiciary and the Legislature which will play out during the election season.
William Flanagan
For 10 years now officials in Fall River have lobbied the state to invest in the development of a biotechnology park in the area – the SouthCoast BioPark. And over the past few years the state has invested about $70 million dollars on road improvements for the industrial park, including a new highway ramp off Route 24.
Meanwhile in the background casino interests have been working to build support among local officials to turn SouthCoast BioPark into a resort casino. By “working” I mean making campaign contributions to Fall River mayor William Flanagan.
Charlie Baker
For a few weeks now we’ve seen a mysterious poster on twitter promoting a web site to political activists called “masshadenough.com“. It was a single page that asked “Had enough of high taxes, political corruption and insider deals?” The source of the messages and purpose of the site was unknown.
Today we found out – that page was a promotion for Charlie Baker’s speaking tour this week. He’s going around the state making his case for reducing taxes, and fixing the endemic corruption we’ve had over the past several years. The tour starts today in Framingham and will end Thursday afternoon at the State House.
RGA’s Negative Ads Work – But do they Benefit Patrick more than Baker?
From Rasmussen’s poll analysis:
“Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick has gained ground over the past month and now earns 45% of the vote in his bid for reelection against Republican Charlie Baker and independent Tim Cahill. That’s a 10-point jump from a month ago and the Democratic incumbent’s best showing in surveys stretching back to June of last year.
Yet the Republican Governors Association’s target isn’t really Tim Cahill
The RGA released a new ad today targeting Tim Cahill, in an attack that seems to be long term and coordinated. Starting about a week ago the RGA began a campaign blitz of television and internet advertising critical of Cahill.
The Republican Governors Association began a massive advertising campaign today attacking State Treasurer Tim Cahill, with a ‘7 figure’ ad buy, featuring ads that attack Cahill for being financially ‘reckless’ and ‘corrupt’.
The ad campaign includes a web site, The Cahill Report hosting the ads, and a twitter campaign (#CahillReport) to distribute them virally.
Deval Patrick
Yesterday morning Western New England College released the latest poll in the Governor’s race showing support for the three major Gubernatorial candidates:
- Deval Patrick: 34%
- Tim Cahill: 29%
- Charlie Baker: 27%
Deval Patrick
Polling firm Public Policy Polling released its latest latest poll about Massachusetts. It’s bad news for Deval again:
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Patrick’s job performance?
Approve …………. 22%
Disapprove ……… 59%
Not Sure ………….. 19%
This is one of the lowest approval ratings of any Governor in America. It’s lower than Jon Corzine who was recalled. More troubling for Patrick is that only 19% of the respondents are “not sure.” To make headway he has the difficult job of converting people who already have a negative opinion. He has an almost 3-1 ratio of unfavorables.
Charlie Baker
A recent poll by Suffok University/7News shows Charlie Baker surging in the polls, and Deval Patrick’s numbers looking increasingly weak.
In the Republican primary, Baker is well ahead of Mihos 47-17%. So assuming that Baker stays ahead, then in a match-up of Patrick, Baker and Cahill breaks 33/25/23. Patrick is still leading – but not by much.
There are months of campaigning ahead and Baker is still not well known to voters. Even in this latest poll 70% of voters either had not heard of Baker or were undecided. Read the rest of this entry »
